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Volatility Strategies: Navigating Market Fluctuations In Brazil

Volatility Strategies: Navigating Market Fluctuations In Brazil

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Volatility Strategies: Navigating Market Fluctuations In Brazil

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Other uncategorized cookies are those being analyzed and not yet categorized. The Nicolallis range of bars was developed in the mid-1990s by Vicente Nicolellis, a Brazilian trader and broker who spent more than a decade running a trading desk in Sao . Paul. The local markets at the time were very volatile, and Nicolellis was interested in developing a way to use the volatility to his advantage. He believed that price movement was the key to understanding (and profiting from) volatility. So, Nicolellis developed the idea of ​​range bars, which consider only price, eliminating time from the equation.

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Nicolellis found that bars based only on price, and not on time or other data, provided a new way to see and use the volatility of financial markets. Most traders and investors are familiar with time based bar charts. For example, a 30-minute chart shows the price action for each 30-minute time period during a trading day and each bar on a daily chart shows the action for one trading day. Time-based charts will always print the same number of bars during each trading session, trading week, or trading year, regardless of volatility, volume, or any other factor.

Range bar charts, on the other hand, can print any number of bars during a trading session: during times of higher volatility, more bars will appear on the chart, but during periods of lower volatility, there will be fewer bars printing. The number of range bars created during a trading session will also depend on the instrument being charted and the price movement specified for each range bar.

Specifying the amount of price movement to create a range bar is not a one-size-fits-all process. Different trading instruments move in different ways. For example, a higher priced stock such as Google (GOOG) may have a daily range of $20 or $30; a lower priced stock such as Blackberry Limited (BB) may only move a fraction of that in a typical day. Blackberry Limited is the company formerly known as Research In Motion (it is named as such in the charts below). Higher priced trading instruments tend to experience higher average daily price ranges.

Volatility Strategies: Navigating Market Fluctuations In Brazil

The chart below shows Google and Blackberry with 10-cent range bars. Half of the trading session (9:30 am to 1:00 pm EST) for Google can barely be compressed to fit on one screen since it has a much larger daily range than Blackberry, so yes there are plenty of other 10 cent range bars. created.

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These charts compare the daily activity of two trading instruments shown with 10-cent range bars. Note that Google’s chart has many more 10-cent range bars than Blackberry’s. This is due to the fact that Google usually trades in a larger range. Only half of the trading session for Google could be pushed into the upper chart; the entire trading session for Blackberry can be seen in the lower chart. Image by Sabrina Jiang © 2021

Google and Blackberry provide an example of two stocks that trade at very different prices (one high and one low), resulting in distinct average daily price ranges. It should be noted that while it is generally true that high-priced trading instruments can have a higher average daily price range than lower-priced ones, instruments can have very different levels of volatility. traded at roughly the same price, as well. . Although we could apply the same range bar settings across the board, it is more helpful to determine a suitable range setting for each trading instrument.

One method of establishing suitable setups is to consider the daily average range of the trading instrument. This can be achieved by observation or by using indicators such as average true range (ATR) on a daily chart interval. Once the average daily range is determined, a percentage of that range could be used to establish the desired price range for a range bar chart.

Another consideration is the trader’s style. Short-term traders may be more interested in seeing smaller price movements and, therefore, may tend to have a smaller range bar setup. Longer-term traders and investors may need range bar settings based on larger price movements.

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For example, a day trader may look at a 10-cent (.01) range bar on McGraw-Hill Companies (MHP). This would allow the short-term trader to see significant price movements that occur during a single trading session. Conversely, an investor may want to set a range bar of one dollar (1.0) for the same stock, which would help reveal price movements that would be significant for the long-term trading and investing style.

Range bars can help traders see price in a “condensed” form. Much of the noise that occurs when prices bounce back and forth between a narrow range can be reduced to one or two bars. This is because a new bar will not print until the entire specified price range has been met, and it helps traders distinguish what is really happening in terms of price.

Because range bar charts eliminate much of the noise, they are very useful charts on which to draw trends. Areas of support and resistance can be emphasized by applying horizontal trend lines; trend periods can be emphasized using uptrend and downtrend lines.

Volatility Strategies: Navigating Market Fluctuations In Brazil

For example, the chart below shows trends applied to a .001 range bar chart of the forex pair euro vs US dollar (EUR/USD). The horizontal trends easily indicate trading ranges, and price movements that break through these ranges are often powerful. Generally, the more times the price bounces back and forth between the range, the more powerful the move could be when the price breaks. This is considered true for touches along uptrend and downtrend lines: the more times a price touches the same trend, the bigger the potential move once the price breaks.

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The chart below shows a price channel drawn as two parallel downward directions on a Google range bar chart. We’ve used a single-range bar here, where each bar is equal to $1 of price movement and does a better job of eliminating the “extra” price moves seen in the first chart by using a range bar setup 10 cents. Since some of the consolidation price movement is eliminated by using a larger range bar setup, traders may be able to see changes in price action more easily. Trends are a natural fit for range bar charts; with less noise, it may be easier to detect trends.

This Google Range 1 bar chart shows a price channel created by drawing parallel lows. The move to the upside was significant when the price broke

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